Copa Colombia Semifinal
Global 2-1
Análisis At. Nacional vs Independiente Medellín
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.27
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
JAG
64%
21%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 3
NAC
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
ENV
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
CAL
51%
24%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 oct. 2024 |
IND
4 - 1
JAG
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2024 |
IND
3 - 0
CHI
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2024 |
CHI
3 - 0
IND
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2024 |
SFE
1 - 1
IND
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 oct. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
IND
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |