Análisis At. Nacional vs Junior
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-8%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2010 |
QUI
0 - 2
NAC
30%
28%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
CAL
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
IND
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 dic. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 4
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2010 |
TOL
2 - 2
JUN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 2010 |
JUN
2 - 0
EQU
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2010 |
RAC
2 - 0
JUN
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2010 |
PER
2 - 2
JUN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |