Análisis At. Nacional vs Millonarios
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+22%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
28%
29%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 1
QUI
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2009 |
JUN
3 - 0
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
AME
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2009 |
MIL
3 - 0
EQU
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 0
CUC
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
HUI
2 - 1
MIL
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2009 |
TOL
3 - 1
MIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
MIL
1 - 1
QUI
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |