Copa Libertadores . Final
Global 2-2
Análisis At. Nacional vs Olimpia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
23.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
54%
27%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1989 |
NAC
6 - 0
DAN
52%
22%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 may. 1989 |
DAN
0 - 0
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1989 |
MIL
1 - 1
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1989 |
NAC
1 - 0
MIL
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 may. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
54%
27%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 may. 1989 |
SCI
2 - 3
OLI
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 may. 1989 |
OLI
0 - 1
SCI
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1989 |
AME
4 - 4
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
AME
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |