Análisis At. Nacional vs Once Caldas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
50.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.56
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 nov. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2014 |
SFE
3 - 2
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
HUI
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 nov. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2014 |
ONC
0 - 1
SFE
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2014 |
HUI
2 - 1
ONC
34%
26%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
ONC
1 - 2
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2014 |
JUN
2 - 0
ONC
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |