Copa Libertadores . Octavos
Global 6-2
Análisis At. Nacional vs Peñarol
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
46.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.7%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
27.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.1
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-10%
+26%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 1995 |
UCH
0 - 0
NAC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 1995 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1995 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 1995 |
NAC
1 - 0
UCH
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 1995 |
NAC
3 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Partidos
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
PEÑ
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1995 |
IND
0 - 1
PEÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 1995 |
CER
0 - 2
PEÑ
46%
23%
30%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RIV
36%
31%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 1995 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
IND
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |