Análisis At. Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
54.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.7%
Probabilidad gana
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAO
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 0
IND
52%
26%
23%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2008 |
ENV
1 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2008 |
NAC
3 - 0
BUC
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 feb. 2008 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
52%
25%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 3
LQE
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 2
LQE
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 feb. 2008 |
AME
1 - 3
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 dic. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 0
LQE
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |