Copa Libertadores Jor. 4

Análisis Athletico Paranaense vs Alianza Lima

Athletico Paranaense Alianza Lima
84 ELO 74
8.1% Tilt 6.7%
97º Ranking ELO general 319º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
79.9%
Athletico Paranaense
13.1%
Empate
6.9%
Alianza Lima

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Athletico Paranaense
2.71
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Alianza Lima
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Athletico Paranaense
-14%
+13%
Alianza Lima

Progresión del ELO

Athletico Paranaense
Alianza Lima
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 mar. 2000
NAC
Nacional
1 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
42%
25%
33%
84 82 2 0
09 mar. 2000
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
1 - 0
CS Emelec
EME
81%
12%
7%
84 76 8 0
16 feb. 2000
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
30%
23%
47%
83 75 8 +1
10 nov. 1999
ATP
Athletico Paranaense
3 - 1
Sport Recife
SPO
62%
21%
17%
83 82 1 0
06 nov. 1999
BOT
Botafogo SP
2 - 1
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
48%
24%
28%
83 83 0 0

Partidos

Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 mar. 2000
NAC
Nacional
2 - 0
Alianza Lima
ALI
70%
19%
11%
75 81 6 0
29 feb. 2000
ALI
Alianza Lima
2 - 1
CS Emelec
EME
45%
26%
29%
74 77 3 +1
16 feb. 2000
ALI
Alianza Lima
0 - 3
Athletico Paranaense
ATP
30%
23%
47%
75 83 8 -1
29 abr. 1998
PEÑ
Peñarol
2 - 1
Alianza Lima
ALI
68%
20%
12%
75 82 7 0
22 abr. 1998
ALI
Alianza Lima
1 - 0
Peñarol
PEÑ
29%
26%
45%
74 83 9 +1