Análisis Atlético Pellegrini vs Def. Fraile Pintado
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
81.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.99
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.6%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
6.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+47%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atlético Pellegrini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2016 |
IHP
1 - 1
APE
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2016 |
APE
0 - 2
CAM
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2016 |
TAB
0 - 1
APE
60%
21%
20%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
APE
2 - 4
TAL
55%
22%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 ago. 2016 |
RGR
1 - 0
APE
18%
20%
62%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Def. Fraile Pintado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 sep. 2016 |
FRA
0 - 2
MIT
13%
19%
68%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
FRA
50%
22%
28%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 ago. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
IHP
25%
23%
53%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2016 |
CAM
0 - 1
FRA
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 1
TAB
14%
20%
67%
|
11 | 27 | 16 | +1 |