Análisis At. Saguntino vs Pego
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-55%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1961 |
OLI
1 - 2
SAG
85%
10%
6%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
SAG
1 - 1
ALG
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 1961 |
SAG
2 - 1
GAN
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 feb. 1961 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAG
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
SAG
1 - 1
SDS
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 mar. 1961 |
PEG
1 - 3
GAN
38%
24%
39%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 mar. 1961 |
CAT
3 - 0
PEG
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 feb. 1961 |
PEG
1 - 3
SDS
49%
22%
30%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 19 feb. 1961 |
POR
5 - 1
PEG
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 feb. 1961 |
PEG
2 - 0
CAN
66%
17%
17%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |