Análisis Atl. Tucumán vs Sportivo Desamparados
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
12.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 jun. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 0
ATT
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2012 |
ATT
1 - 3
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 0
ATT
62%
24%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 may. 2012 |
ATT
2 - 4
RIV
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2012 |
ATT
0 - 1
RAC
30%
27%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Sportivo Desamparados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jun. 2012 |
DES
2 - 0
ALD
21%
25%
55%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 may. 2012 |
HUR
2 - 1
DES
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 may. 2012 |
DES
0 - 2
FER
30%
28%
41%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2012 |
MER
0 - 0
DES
57%
26%
18%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2012 |
DES
0 - 3
QUI
20%
28%
52%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |