Análisis Aucas vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
57.6%
Probabilidad gana
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2016 |
CUE
2 - 2
AUC
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
AUC
0 - 1
LIG
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
BSC
3 - 0
AUC
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -3 |
| 28 feb. 2016 |
AUC
1 - 1
MUS
62%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2016 |
UCE
0 - 1
AUC
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 2
UCE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2016 |
FAM
2 - 0
NAC
49%
29%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2016 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -3 |
| 06 mar. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
53%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2016 |
EME
0 - 1
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |