Análisis Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.3%
Empate
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
37.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+54%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 may. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 1
IMB
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 may. 2008 |
LDU
2 - 1
AUC
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2008 |
AUC
0 - 1
MUN
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2008 |
GRE
0 - 0
AUC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2008 |
AUC
0 - 0
DUC
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 may. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 2
IVT
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 may. 2008 |
IVT
0 - 2
GRE
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2008 |
BQD
0 - 3
IVT
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2008 |
IVT
2 - 1
LOJ
71%
19%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2008 |
IMB
1 - 0
IVT
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |