Análisis Aucas vs Independiente del Valle
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
36.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.15
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+56%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2008 |
AUC
0 - 2
IMB
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
AUC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2008 |
AUC
2 - 0
MUN
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
AUC
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 jun. 2008 |
AUC
1 - 0
DUC
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2008 |
LDU
2 - 1
IVT
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 jul. 2008 |
IVT
0 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 jul. 2008 |
BQD
0 - 0
IVT
21%
26%
53%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2008 |
IVT
1 - 2
LOJ
71%
20%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 jun. 2008 |
IMB
1 - 1
IVT
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |