Análisis Aucas vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.43
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2002 |
NAC
0 - 1
AUC
46%
29%
26%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2002 |
AUC
0 - 1
LDU
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 2002 |
BSC
1 - 0
AUC
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2002 |
EME
0 - 2
AUC
42%
28%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2002 |
BSC
0 - 0
AUC
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 sep. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 0
BSC
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2002 |
CUE
0 - 0
MAC
50%
27%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 2
QUI
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2002 |
ESP
0 - 2
MAC
44%
28%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 ago. 2002 |
MAC
0 - 0
OLM
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |