Análisis Aucas vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
64%
Probabilidad gana
1.88
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
14.4%
Probabilidad gana
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
-11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 jul. 2006 |
CUE
3 - 0
AUC
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
BSC
4 - 1
AUC
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2006 |
AUC
2 - 1
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 may. 2006 |
CUE
3 - 2
AUC
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
AUC
2 - 2
ESP
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 jul. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 3
BSC
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2006 |
OLM
1 - 0
MAC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 may. 2006 |
MAC
2 - 1
BSC
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 may. 2006 |
QUI
0 - 2
MAC
75%
17%
9%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 abr. 2006 |
MAC
0 - 2
NAC
18%
24%
58%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |