Análisis Aucas vs Espoli
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
23.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 may. 2007 |
UCE
2 - 1
AUC
44%
27%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 4
AUC
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
AUC
2 - 1
TEC
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 abr. 2007 |
BQD
2 - 1
AUC
32%
26%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
AUC
3 - 2
LOJ
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Espoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 may. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
MAN
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 may. 2007 |
TEC
1 - 0
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 may. 2007 |
ESP
3 - 0
BQD
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 abr. 2007 |
LOJ
1 - 1
ESP
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2007 |
ESP
5 - 2
LDU
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |