Análisis Aurora FC vs Nueva Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
37.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
36.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+41%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Aurora FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2014 |
HUE
1 - 0
AUR
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2014 |
AYU
2 - 0
AUR
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
AUR
1 - 0
PUE
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
SPD
1 - 0
AUR
59%
22%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2014 |
BAR
3 - 0
NUE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2014 |
NUE
2 - 1
AYU
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 abr. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2014 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 abr. 2014 |
LAG
3 - 1
NUE
63%
20%
17%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |