Ligue 1 Jor. 21

Análisis Auxerre vs Caen

Auxerre Caen
86 ELO 76
10.8% Tilt -10.6%
150º Ranking ELO general 1121º
13º Ranking ELO país 42º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
69.6%
Auxerre
18.2%
Empate
12.2%
Caen

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
Auxerre
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Caen
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Auxerre
+8%
-13%
Caen

Progresión del ELO

Auxerre
Caen
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Auxerre
Auxerre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 dic. 1993
MPL
Montpellier
1 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
41%
28%
31%
86 81 5 0
27 nov. 1993
AUX
Auxerre
5 - 0
Lille
LIL
74%
18%
9%
85 75 10 +1
20 nov. 1993
MAR
Olympique Marseille
0 - 3
Auxerre
AUX
74%
17%
10%
85 91 6 0
10 nov. 1993
AUX
Auxerre
0 - 1
Girondins Bordeaux
GIR
59%
23%
17%
85 86 1 0
06 nov. 1993
ASS
Saint-Étienne
1 - 0
Auxerre
AUX
38%
29%
34%
85 80 5 0

Partidos

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 dic. 1993
CAE
Caen
1 - 0
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
57%
25%
18%
76 75 1 0
27 nov. 1993
ANG
Angers SCO
2 - 0
Caen
CAE
36%
28%
35%
77 65 12 -1
20 nov. 1993
CAE
Caen
2 - 1
Sochaux
SOC
56%
25%
19%
77 76 1 0
10 nov. 1993
CAE
Caen
0 - 0
Montpellier
MPL
46%
28%
26%
77 81 4 0
06 nov. 1993
MAR
Olympique Marseille
2 - 0
Caen
CAE
79%
14%
7%
77 91 14 0