Análisis Avaí vs Brusque
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
75.5%
Probabilidad gana
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16%
Empate
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.5%
Probabilidad gana
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
21%
23%
56%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 3
AVA
10%
19%
71%
|
75 | 36 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2011 |
3 - 4
AVA
12%
18%
70%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2011 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2011 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
BRU
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 2
ATL
19%
23%
59%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2011 |
CHA
3 - 1
BRU
50%
23%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2011 |
BRU
3 - 1
MET
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |