Análisis Avaí vs Caxias Joinville FC
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.3
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Empate
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.09
Goles esperados
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 oct. 1976 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1976 |
RIO
0 - 0
AVA
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 1976 |
AVA
0 - 3
GRE
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1976 |
AVA
0 - 1
PAL
25%
27%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1976 |
AVA
2 - 1
RIO
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 oct. 1976 |
DES
0 - 0
CAX
36%
29%
35%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 1976 |
CAX
0 - 0
RIO
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1976 |
RIO
0 - 2
CAX
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1976 |
CAX
2 - 0
DES
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 1976 |
FFL
1 - 0
CAX
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |