Análisis Avaí vs Caxias do Sul
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 oct. 2001 |
AVA
1 - 2
SER
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2001 |
BRA
1 - 1
AVA
50%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2001 |
AVA
3 - 1
XVD
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2001 |
JEC
4 - 1
AVA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2001 |
JMA
1 - 1
AVA
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Partidos
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 oct. 2001 |
CAX
2 - 1
FFL
40%
25%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2001 |
LON
2 - 1
CAX
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2001 |
CAX
2 - 1
JEC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 sep. 2001 |
JMA
2 - 2
CAX
29%
25%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2001 |
AME
3 - 1
CAX
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |