Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
34.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.39
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+27%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
AVA
7 - 1
UTI
82%
13%
5%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
AVA
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 2005 |
CHA
4 - 0
UTI
89%
9%
2%
|
68 | 7 | 61 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
UTI
1 - 2
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
73%
17%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
FFL
5 - 1
CHA
73%
16%
11%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |