Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.25
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
48%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVA
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2005 |
SAN
5 - 1
AVA
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 oct. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 3
GRE
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 oct. 2005 |
AVA
0 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ene. 2006 |
CHA
2 - 0
GUA
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2005 |
GUA
5 - 1
CHA
17%
21%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 2
FFL
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2005 |
HER
2 - 0
CHA
29%
23%
48%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
35%
25%
41%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |