Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
8.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
AVA
14%
20%
66%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 2
BRU
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
AVA
2 - 2
SAO
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 nov. 2008 |
COR
3 - 2
AVA
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2008 |
BRA
3 - 2
AVA
35%
27%
37%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2009 |
CHA
0 - 0
MET
54%
22%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 abr. 2008 |
MET
2 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
CHA
0 - 6
AVA
27%
23%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 abr. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
CHA
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |