Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.21
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.92
Goles esperados
0-1
4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
JEC
1 - 0
AVA
23%
23%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2009 |
CRI
2 - 3
AVA
31%
24%
46%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 1
CRI
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2009 |
AVA
3 - 1
JEC
68%
20%
13%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVA
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 1
CRI
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2009 |
JEC
3 - 0
CHA
42%
24%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 2009 |
CHA
2 - 0
JEC
59%
21%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2009 |
CRI
0 - 0
CHA
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVA
28%
23%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |