Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 abr. 2012 |
MET
2 - 5
AVA
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 2
AVA
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2012 |
AVA
6 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
6%
|
70 | 45 | 25 | +1 |
| 24 mar. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVA
12%
17%
71%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2012 |
CRZ
4 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 1
CRI
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
CRZ
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 3
HER
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
MET
0 - 2
CHA
27%
24%
49%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |