Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.41
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.12
Goles esperados
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 2
AVA
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
BRU
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 0
CRI
41%
25%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
JEC
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 feb. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 2
AVA
13%
21%
66%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 2014 |
CRI
2 - 1
CHA
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
HER
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
MET
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
48%
24%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |