Análisis Avaí vs Chapecoense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
39.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.26
Goles esperados
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.8%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRI
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 1
VAS
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 abr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 2019 |
BRU
0 - 4
AVA
9%
18%
73%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 0
TUB
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
COR
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2019 |
CRI
0 - 2
CHA
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2019 |
FFL
3 - 3
CHA
32%
27%
42%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |