Análisis Avaí vs Figueirense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
61.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
AVA
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVA
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2005 |
SAN
5 - 1
AVA
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 oct. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 3
GRE
28%
28%
45%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2006 |
FFL
2 - 1
JUV
84%
12%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 2
FFL
13%
20%
68%
|
79 | 52 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2005 |
FFL
3 - 1
SAN
26%
23%
50%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 2
FFL
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |