Análisis Avaí vs Grêmio Barueri
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.3%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 0
JEC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 3
AVA
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 2
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 abr. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 1
AVA
24%
23%
52%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 1
FFL
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
GRÊ
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
SAN
40%
25%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2010 |
FRA
1 - 3
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
SAO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2010 |
BRA
2 - 3
GRÊ
39%
24%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |