Análisis Avaí vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
27.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
44.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.32
Goles esperados
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
AVA
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2005 |
AVA
0 - 1
SAN
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 3
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 sep. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 0
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 oct. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 sep. 2005 |
GRE
1 - 1
MAR
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |