Análisis Avaí vs Grêmio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
38.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 sep. 2010 |
VAS
1 - 1
AVA
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2010 |
AVA
1 - 2
CRZ
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
AVA
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 sep. 2010 |
AVA
0 - 1
ATP
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
AVA
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 sep. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2010 |
COR
0 - 1
GRE
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 0
ATL
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |