Análisis Avaí vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
REM
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
BRA
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 jul. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
OPE
54%
27%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 0
BRA
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 jul. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 4
VIL
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 jul. 2021 |
VAS
4 - 1
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 jul. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 0
SAM
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2021 |
CON
1 - 4
GUA
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |