Análisis Avaí vs Guarani de Palhoça
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.16
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.5%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2005 |
UTI
2 - 3
AVA
8%
18%
74%
|
65 | 7 | 58 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
35%
25%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
CHA
0 - 1
AVA
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 2005 |
FFL
6 - 1
GUA
85%
12%
4%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 0
HER
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 feb. 2005 |
UTI
2 - 3
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 0
UTI
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 9 | 40 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
HER
2 - 1
GUA
68%
18%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |