Análisis Avaí vs Hermann Aichinger
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 0
AVA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2004 |
AVA
2 - 0
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 0
AVA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 nov. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 0
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 nov. 2004 |
BAH
1 - 1
AVA
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |