Análisis Avaí vs Hermann Aichinger
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.62
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.5%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.26
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
AVA
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 2
FFL
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2006 |
GUA
2 - 1
AVA
36%
24%
40%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVA
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
AVA
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
HER
3 - 2
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 2006 |
CHA
0 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
HER
1 - 2
JUV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2006 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |