Análisis Avaí vs Joinville
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
74%
Probabilidad gana
2.18
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
AVA
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2021 |
AVA
0 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2021 |
ECP
1 - 1
AVA
8%
15%
77%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2021 |
PAL
0 - 1
AVA
9%
18%
73%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2021 |
BRU
2 - 0
AVA
26%
24%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
Partidos
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2021 |
JEC
0 - 3
CHA
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 76 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 2
JEC
40%
26%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 mar. 2021 |
JEC
1 - 1
CAC
39%
24%
38%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
JEC
30%
26%
45%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |