Análisis Avaí vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 2
AVA
25%
24%
51%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 feb. 2005 |
HER
4 - 0
AVA
39%
25%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 0
GUA
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 feb. 2005 |
UTI
2 - 3
AVA
8%
18%
74%
|
65 | 7 | 58 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 0
CHA
35%
25%
41%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 3
JEC
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2005 |
CRI
3 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 feb. 2005 |
MAR
4 - 2
TUB
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2005 |
JEC
4 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 feb. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 1
MET
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |