Análisis Avaí vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2006 |
JEC
2 - 0
AVA
41%
25%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2006 |
AVA
0 - 0
JEC
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2006 |
AVA
3 - 2
FFL
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 0
JUV
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 mar. 2006 |
FFL
5 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
53 | 77 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 2
FFL
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 0
AVA
25%
23%
52%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 2006 |
JEC
3 - 3
MAR
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2006 |
CRI
1 - 0
MAR
76%
15%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |