Análisis Avaí vs Marcílio Dias
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.22
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 feb. 2009 |
BRU
0 - 1
AVA
16%
20%
64%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
AVA
2 - 0
MET
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 2009 |
HER
4 - 2
AVA
21%
22%
56%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
AVA
0 - 0
JEC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 feb. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
62%
20%
17%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
MET
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 2
HER
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 feb. 2009 |
JEC
3 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 feb. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 1
FFL
11%
19%
71%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2009 |
TUB
0 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |