Análisis Avaí vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 jun. 2003 |
PAU
0 - 1
AVA
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 jun. 2003 |
AVA
2 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 jun. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
AVA
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2003 |
GAM
1 - 0
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 may. 2003 |
AVA
2 - 1
UNI
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jun. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 1
UNI
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 2003 |
NAU
3 - 1
CRB
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 jun. 2003 |
PAU
2 - 2
NAU
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 may. 2003 |
AMF
0 - 0
NAU
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 may. 2003 |
NAU
2 - 0
LON
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |