Análisis Avaí vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.48
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
29.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 may. 2004 |
BRA
3 - 2
AVA
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 may. 2004 |
AVA
1 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2004 |
MOG
1 - 2
AVA
29%
27%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2004 |
AVA
3 - 1
SAN
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 abr. 2004 |
LON
2 - 2
AVA
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 may. 2004 |
NAU
1 - 3
CEA
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
NAU
3 - 0
AMF
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2004 |
FOR
5 - 4
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2004 |
NAU
5 - 0
LON
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 abr. 2004 |
MOG
0 - 0
NAU
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |