Análisis Avaí vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
29.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
43.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.31
Goles esperados
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2006 |
ARN
3 - 0
AVA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2006 |
AVA
1 - 1
POR
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2006 |
ITU
0 - 0
AVA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2006 |
AVA
2 - 1
PAY
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
ATM
4 - 1
AVA
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2006 |
NAU
1 - 0
GAM
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 2006 |
NAU
5 - 1
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2006 |
COT
1 - 1
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 2006 |
NAU
2 - 1
MAR
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2006 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
51%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |