Análisis Avaí vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60%
Probabilidad gana
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17%
Probabilidad gana
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 0
BOA
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
AVA
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
AVA
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2014 |
AVA
3 - 2
SAM
60%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
AVA
2 - 1
VIL
76%
17%
8%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 1
PAR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 1
NAU
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 2
JEC
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 sep. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |