Análisis Avaí vs Paraná
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
45.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.34
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
27.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
AVA
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 0
AMF
27%
30%
42%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
AVA
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 oct. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 0
AVA
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 2020 |
AVA
1 - 1
CSA
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 nov. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
CON
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 2020 |
CRZ
2 - 0
PAR
63%
23%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 0
OES
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 oct. 2020 |
CUI
3 - 3
PAR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAM
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |