Análisis Avaí vs Paulista
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
24.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.68
Goles esperados
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jul. 2007 |
GAM
4 - 2
AVA
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 jul. 2007 |
FOR
3 - 3
AVA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 jun. 2007 |
AVA
1 - 0
IFC
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 jun. 2007 |
AVA
2 - 0
CEA
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 jun. 2007 |
CRB
3 - 1
AVA
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 jul. 2007 |
ITU
3 - 1
PAU
30%
26%
45%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 jul. 2007 |
PAU
0 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 jun. 2007 |
POR
1 - 1
PAU
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 2007 |
PAU
3 - 1
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 jun. 2007 |
PAU
2 - 2
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |