Análisis Avaí vs União São João
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
69.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.12
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2003 |
MOG
1 - 0
AVA
30%
26%
45%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 may. 2003 |
AVA
2 - 0
SPO
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 may. 2003 |
BOT
1 - 1
AVA
62%
22%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2003 |
AVA
1 - 0
CEA
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 nov. 2002 |
MOG
1 - 3
AVA
33%
26%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 may. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 1
CRB
42%
26%
33%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 may. 2003 |
AME
2 - 0
UNI
62%
21%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 may. 2003 |
UNI
0 - 1
MAR
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 0
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2003 |
COR
4 - 1
UNI
85%
11%
5%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -2 |