Análisis Avaí vs União Timbó
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
82.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.5%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.52
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
AVA
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 2
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 dic. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 0
AVA
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 dic. 2004 |
AVA
2 - 0
BAH
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 nov. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 0
AVA
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
Partidos
União Timbó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2005 |
HER
3 - 1
UTI
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 56 | 47 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2005 |
UTI
1 - 7
FFL
5%
14%
81%
|
9 | 80 | 71 | 0 |