Análisis Avaí vs Vasco da Gama
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
28.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
-13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
CRZ
2 - 2
AVA
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
AVA
6 - 1
GRÊ
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 may. 2010 |
AVA
2 - 0
JEC
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 abr. 2010 |
JEC
1 - 3
AVA
24%
24%
52%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2010 |
AVA
3 - 2
GRE
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
Partidos
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 may. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 may. 2010 |
VAS
3 - 1
VIT
59%
22%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 abr. 2010 |
VIT
2 - 0
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 1
JMA
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |